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Relative Strength Investing Trends: What's Hot And What's Not .

This monthly Nasdaq Dorsey Wright Newsletter is devoted to information and portfolio strategies for the high relative strength asset class.

Relative Strength Investing Trends: What's Hot And What's Not

What’s Hot…and Not

How different investments have done over the past 12 months, 6 months, and 1 month.  As of 8/10/18:

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Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Never before has it been easier for investors to invest in the strongest trends wherever they might be found in the world.  Relative strength offers a disciplined framework for allocating among those trends.  Markets are global and your portfolio should be too.

See disclosures in Appendix A, which includes the ETFs and Indexes used for this performance table.Performance numbers include dividends but do not include all transaction costs. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.   

High RS Asset Class

High RS stocks, as an asset class, often move independently of broad indexes.  As of 8/10/18.

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See disclosures in Appendix A.

Fund Flows

Total estimated inflows to long-term mutual funds and net exchange traded fund (ETF) issuance collected by The Investment Company Institute.

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See disclosures in Appendix A.

Sector and Capitalization Performance

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Past performance is not indicative of future results.

See disclosures in Appendix A.

High RS Diffusion Index

As of 8/10/18:

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The 10-day moving average is 62% and the one-day reading is 66%.  This index has been above 50% the vast majority of the last several years as we have generally seen positive trends in the U.S. equity markets.

See disclosures in Appendix A.

Relative Strength Spread

The chart below is the spread between the relative strength leaders and relative strength laggards (universe of mid and large cap stocks).  When the chart is rising, relative strength leaders are performing better than relative strength laggards.  As of 8/10/18:

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After falling below its 50 day moving average in early June, the RS Spread has consolidated and is now on the cusp of moving back above its 50 day moving average.

See disclosures in Appendix A. 

Systematic RS Growth in Focus

With the broad U.S. equity market (as measured by the S&P 500) on the cusp of moving to new all-time highs, we continue to receive strong interest in strategies that focus on U.S. stocks.  Our Systematic RS Growth Portfolio has been among our most popular strategies because of its strong long-term performance and because of its ability to raise up to 50 percent cash if needed.

Since inception, this portfolio has had a gross annualized return of 11.65% (9.94% net) compared to 8.38% for the S&P 500 Total Return Index (12/31/06 – 7/31/18).  The beta of this portfolio has been 0.79 since inception.

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A unique characteristic of this portfolio is that it does have the ability to raise up to 50% cash in bad markets.  As shown in the chart below, the strategy tends to be fully invested most of the time, but it has raised cash at times in the past.

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Our separately managed accounts are available on over 20 platforms.  To learn more about this strategy, please contact us here or call 626-535-0630.

The performance represented in this brochure is based on monthly performance of the Systematic Relative Strength Growth strategy. Net performance shown is total return net of management fees, commissions, and expenses for all Dorsey Wright managed accounts, managed for each complete quarter for each objective, regardless of levels of fixed income and cash in each account. The advisory fees are described in Part 2A of the adviser’s Form ADV. The starting values on 12/31/2006 are assigned an arbitrary value of 100 and statement portfolios are revalued on a trade date basis on the last day of each quarter. All returns since inception of actual Accounts are compared against the S&P 500 Index. The S&P 500 is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 leading companies publicly traded in the U.S. stock market, as defined by Standard & Poor’s. A list of all holdings over the past 12 months is available upon request. The performance information is based on data supplied by the Manager or from statistical services, reports, or other sources which the Manager believes are reliable.  Nasdaq Dorsey Wright is a registered investment advisory firm. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In all securities trading, there is a potential for loss as well as profit. It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance as shown. Investors should have long-term financial objectives when working with Dorsey Wright. The relative strength strategy is NOT a guarantee. There Can be times where all investments and strategies are unfavorable and depreciate in value. Relative Strength is a measure of price momentum based on historical price activity.  Relative Strength is not predictive and there is no assurance that forecasts based on relative strength can be relied upon. The information contained herein has been prepared without regard to any particular investor’s investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. Accordingly, investors should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this material without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources believed to be reliable (“information providers”). However, such information has not been verified by DWA or the information provider and DWA and the information providers make no representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein. DWA and the information provider accept no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct, indirect, consequential, or special loss of any kind arising out of the use of this document or its contents or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities, commodities or exchange traded products. This document does not purport to be complete description of the securities or commodities, markets or developments to which reference is made.

Media Center

Powershares DWA Momentum ETFs

Arrow DWA Funds and ETFs

First Trust DWA UITs and ETFs

AdvisorShares

ALPS

Virtus Investment Partners

Dorsey Wright SMAs and UMAs

Dorsey Wright White Papers

Other Relative Strength Sources

Brush, John S. "Eight Relative Strength Models Compared." Journal of Portfolio Management (1986).

Berger, Israel, Moskowitz. "The Case for Momentum Investing." AQR Capital Management. 2009.

Jegadeesh and Titman. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers." Journal of Finance (1993).

O'Shaughnessy, James P. What Works on Wall Street. McGraw Hill, 1997.

Appendix A

The information contained herein has been prepared without regard to any particular investor’s investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. Accordingly, investors should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this material without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources believed to be reliable (“information providers”). However, such information has not been verified by Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC (DWA) or the information provider and DWA and the information providers make no representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein. DWA and the information provider accept no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct, indirect, consequential, or special loss of any kind arising out of the use of this document or its contents or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities, commodities or exchange traded products. This document does not purport to be complete description of the securities or commodities, markets or developments to which reference is made. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss. You should consider this strategy’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses before investing. The examples and information presented do not take into consideration commissions, tax implications, or other transaction costs.  Each investor should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks and expenses of any Exchange-Traded Fund (“ETF”) prior to investing.  Before investing in an ETF investors should obtain and carefully read the relevant prospectus and documents the issuer has filed with the SEC.  ETF’s may result in the layering of fees as ETF’s impose their own advisory and other fees.  To obtain more complete information about the product the documents are publicly available for free via EDGAR on the SEC website (http://www.sec.gov).

The returns shown in the Sector and Capitalization Snapshot are price returns only.

1PowerShares DB Gold, 2MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 3DJ U.S. Real Estate Index, 4S&P Europe 350 Index, 5Green Haven Continuous Commodity Index, 6iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund, 7JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Fund, 8PowerShares DB US Dollar Index, 9iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund, 10PowerShares DB Oil, 11Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond, 12S&P 500 Index, 13PowerShares QQQ, 14Dow Jones Industrial Average

“High RS Index” is a proprietary Dorsey, Wright Index composed of stocks that meet a high level of relative strength.  The volatility of this index may be different than any product managed by Dorsey, Wright.   The “High RS Index” does not represent the results of actual trading.  Clients may have investment results different than the results portrayed in this index.  Performance for both the High RS Index and S&P 500 is price returns only.

What's Hot...and Not Disclosures

The performance above is based on total returns, but does not include transaction costs. This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

High RS Asset Class Disclosures

The performance above is based on pure price returns, not inclusive of dividends or all transaction costs. This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

Fund Flows Disclosures

This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation.

High RS Diffusion Index Disclosures

The index above is based on pure price returns, not inclusive of dividends or all transaction costs. This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

Relative Strength Spread Disclosures

The index above is based on pure price returns, not inclusive of dividends or all transaction costs. This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

For more information
Get the latest SRS Performance Report
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